Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000309 0.000346 0.000386 0.000433 0.000485 0.000544 0.000612
2025-01-19 0.000230 0.000279 0.000338 0.000413 0.000506 0.000620 0.000770
2025-01-26 0.000193 0.000249 0.000320 0.000418 0.000549 0.000721 0.000967
2025-02-02 0.000173 0.000235 0.000317 0.000437 0.000609 0.000850 0.001218
2025-02-09 0.000151 0.000213 0.000300 0.000432 0.000631 0.000926 0.001405
2025-02-16 0.000136 0.000199 0.000290 0.000436 0.000665 0.001022 0.001634
2025-02-23 0.000122 0.000184 0.000278 0.000432 0.000685 0.001097 0.001841
2025-03-02 0.000112 0.000174 0.000270 0.000435 0.000716 0.001194 0.002097
2025-03-09 0.000103 0.000164 0.000262 0.000434 0.000740 0.001279 0.002346
2025-03-16 0.000091 0.000149 0.000243 0.000414 0.000727 0.001298 0.002473
2025-03-23 0.000085 0.000142 0.000238 0.000416 0.000754 0.001393 0.002762
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000141 0.000242 0.000435 0.000814 0.001558 0.003225
2025-04-06 0.000076 0.000132 0.000231 0.000426 0.000821 0.001624 0.003496
2025-04-13 0.000068 0.000120 0.000214 0.000406 0.000803 0.001635 0.003651
2025-04-20 0.000064 0.000115 0.000211 0.000410 0.000837 0.001763 0.004103
2025-04-27 0.000062 0.000115 0.000215 0.000429 0.000904 0.001976 0.004809
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000109 0.000208 0.000424 0.000917 0.002066 0.005222
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000105 0.000204 0.000428 0.000951 0.002210 0.005808
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000100 0.000198 0.000424 0.000965 0.002310 0.006296
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000097 0.000195 0.000427 0.000998 0.002461 0.006969
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000093 0.000191 0.000426 0.001021 0.002589 0.007600
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000086 0.000179 0.000406 0.000993 0.002576 0.007787
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000084 0.000177 0.000409 0.001022 0.002728 0.008553